2022 Topps 206 Baseball Checklist, Team Set Lists and Details
In movies, monsters never seem to really die. They might be gone for a while, but they eventually find a way back. It’s the same with baseball cards and “The Monster” — T206. Since the original’s run more than a century ago from 1909-11, Topps has brought the tobacco card design back multiple times. 2022 Topps 206 Baseball marks the third year in a row where it’s a multi-wave, online-exclusive release.
2022 Topps 206 Baseball Checklist Overview
Just like the name, the design isn’t changing. Topps has kept things looking much like they did back when the original cards were distributed as bonuses with tobacco. The layout is the same and the graphics follow a similar sort of style.
The cards are also smaller in size versus traditional modern releases. 2022 Topps 206 Baseball cards stick to the tobacco card dimensions of 1.4″ by 2.6″.

Like 2020 and 2021, this is an ongoing release that will span several waves. Each is available for a month on the Topps website as a print-on-demand product. So whatever gets ordered during the sales window determines the overall print run. This also means that some waves will be more plentiful than others.
The foundation of each release is the base portion, consisting of 100 cards. The checklist is a mix of veterans, rookies and legends.

Parallels, which combine to land two per pack, mimic the original T206 set with a variety of card backs. According to Topps, the following will run across all waves:
- Piedmont Back
- El Principe de Gales – 1:6 packs
- Carolina Brights – 1:18 packs
- Polar Bear – 1:30 packs
- Tolstoi – 25 copies each
- Wood Paper Stock – 20 copies each
- American Beauty – 10 copies each
- Ty Cobb – 1 copy each

Individual waves also have some exclusives. These can be more parallels or variations.
2022 Topps 206 Baseball cards at a glance:
Cards per pack: 10
Packs per box: 1
Set size: 100 cards per wave
Release date: June 22, 2022
What to expect in a pack:
- Parallels – 2
2022 Topps 206 Baseball Checklist
Please note that print runs for cards without serial numbers have not been announced.
Wave 1
Available: June 22
Print Run: TBA

Parallels:
- Piedmont Back
- Sweet Caporal – (1:3 packs)
- El Principe de Gales – (1:6 packs)
- Carolina Brights – (1:18 packs)
- Blank Backs – (1:20 packs)
- Polar Bear – (1:30 packs)
- Tolstoi – (25 copies each)
- Wood Paper Stock – (20 copies each)
- American Beauty – (10 copies each)
- Ty Cobb – (1 copy each)
W1-1 Bo Bichette
W1-2 Nestor Cortes
W1-3 Jeff Bagwell
W1-4 Rogers Hornsby
W1-5 Wander Franco
W1-6 Ryne Sandberg
W1-7 Trey Mancini
W1-8 Chas McCormick
W1-9 Trevor Story
W1-10 Patrick Sandoval
W1-11 Austin Riley
W1-12 Greg Maddux
W1-13 Francisco Lindor
W1-14 Eric Lauer
W1-15 Yadier Molina
W1-16 Nick Castellanos
W1-17 George Kirby
W1-18 Dennis Eckersley
W1-19 Jazz Chisholm
W1-20 Jhoan Durán
W1-21 Roberto Clemente
W1-22 Keibert Ruiz
W1-23 Nico Hoerner
W1-24 Zac Gallen
W1-25 Joe Dunand
W1-26 C.J. Cron
W1-27 Cody Bellinger
W1-28 Paul O’Neil
W1-29 George Brett
W1-30 Joe Musgrove
W1-31 Alek Manoah
W1-32 Joc Pederson
W1-33 J.P. Crawford
W1-34 Nolan Ryan
W1-35 Ian Happ
W1-36 Jared Walsh
W1-37 Randal Grichuk
W1-38 Tommy Edman
W1-39 MJ Melendez
W1-40 Andre Dawson
W1-41 Deion Sanders
W1-42 Shane McClanahan
W1-43 Harrison Bader
W1-44 Ty France
W1-45 Max Fried
W1-46 Tyler Stephenson
W1-47 Seth Beer
W1-48 Clayton Kershaw
W1-49 Vladimir Guerrero
W1-50 Duke Snider
W1-51 Byron Buxton
W1-52 Austin Hays
W1-53 Connor Joe
W1-54 Kerry Wood
W1-55 Pee Wee Reese
W1-56 Alex Verdugo
W1-57 Zack Wheeler
W1-58 Marcell Ozuna
W1-59 Justin Turner
W1-60 Brandon Drury
W1-61 Dave Winfield
W1-62 Mark Teixeira
W1-63 Elvis Andrus
W1-64 Christian Yelich
W1-65 Triston McKenzie
W1-66 Felipe Alou
W1-67 Manuel Margot
W1-68 Kole Calhoun
W1-69 Javier Baez
W1-70 David Ortiz
W1-71 Cesar Hernandez
W1-72 Ryan McMahon
W1-73 Manny Machado
W1-74 Juan Marichal
W1-75 Chris Taylor
W1-76 Framber Valdez
W1-77 Myles Straw
W1-78 Jordan Romano
W1-79 Darryl Strawberry
W1-80 Martin Perez
W1-81 Miles Mikolas
W1-82 Jose Abreu
W1-83 Christian Walker
W1-84 Jordan Montgomery
W1-85 Phil Niekro
W1-86 Yordan Alvarez
W1-87 Cal Quantrill
W1-88 Edwin Diaz
W1-89 Brady Singer
W1-90 Edgar Martinez
W1-91 Maikel Franco
W1-92 Jorge Polanco
W1-93 Steve Carlton
W1-94 Hunter Renfroe
W1-95 Torii Hunter
W1-96 Michael Brantley
W1-97 Santiago Espinal
W1-98 Brandon Nimmo
W1-99 Aaron Judge
W1-100 Tris Speaker
Player Image Variations Checklist
List TBA.
Rookie Action Image Variations Checklist
List TBA.
Wave 2
Available: July 20
Print Run: TBA

Parallels:
- Piedmont Back
- Old Mill – (1:3 packs)
- El Principe de Gales – (1:6 packs)
- Carolina Brights – (1:18 packs)
- Polar Bear – (1:30 packs)
- All-Star California – (100 copies each)
- Tolstoi – (25 copies each)
- Wood Paper Stock – (20 copies each)
- American Beauty – (10 copies each)
- Ty Cobb – (1 copy each)
W2-1 Christy Mathewson
W2-2 Mariano Rivera
W2-3 Bryce Harper
W2-4 Jose Altuve
W2-5 Jim Thome
W2-6 George Springer
W2-7 Bobby Witt Jr.
W2-8 Cal Ripken Jr.
W2-9 Ted Williams
W2-10 Tim Anderson
W2-11 Corey Seager
W2-12 Alex Faedo
W2-13 Kevin Kiermaier
W2-14 Ronald Acuña Jr.
W2-15 Ken Griffey Sr.
W2-16 Nolan Arenado
W2-17 Julio Urias
W2-18 Jarren Duran
W2-19 Freddie Freeman
W2-20 Pete Alonso
W2-21 Mike Yastrzemski
W2-22 Rowdy Tellez
W2-23 Ryan Howard
W2-24 Tylor Megill
W2-25 Jose Ramirez
W2-26 Fernando Tatis Jr.
W2-27 Mike Trout
W2-28 Carlos Correa
W2-29 Anthony Rizzo
W2-30 Dale Murphy
W2-31 Tony Oliva
W2-32 Kyle Farmer
W2-33 Logan Gilbert
W2-34 Pavin Smith
W2-35 Miguel Cabrera
W2-36 Jorge Soler
W2-37 Frankie Montas
W2-38 Alejandro Kirk
W2-39 Jose Canseco
W2-40 Yu Darvish
W2-41 Tom Seaver
W2-42 Alek Thomas
W2-43 Trevor Hoffman
W2-44 Andrew Benintendi
W2-45 Frank Schwindel
W2-46 Joey Votto
W2-47 Mike Schmidt
W2-48 Andrew McCutchen
W2-49 Shane Baz
W2-50 Bobby Valentine
W2-51 Rafael Devers
W2-52 CC Sabathia
W2-53 Yadiel Hernandez
W2-54 Max Kepler
W2-55 Gil Hodges
W2-56 Eddie Murray
W2-57 Freddy Peralta
W2-58 Adalberto Mondesi
W2-59 Gerrit Cole
W2-60 Justin Morneau
W2-61 Alec Bohm
W2-62 Tyler O’Neill
W2-63 Ryan Mountcastle
W2-64 Rod Carew
W2-65 Robbie Ray
W2-66 J.T. Realmuto
W2-67 Brandon Lowe
W2-68 Jay Buhner
W2-69 Kevin Gausman
W2-70 Paul Sewald
W2-71 Luis Garcia
W2-72 Jake Burger
W2-73 Evan Longoria
W2-74 Alex Wood
W2-75 Roger Clemens
W2-76 Scott Barlow
W2-77 Zach Eflin
W2-78 Andrew Vaughn
W2-79 Larry Doby
W2-80 David Bednar
W2-81 Nicky Lopez
W2-82 Jack Flaherty
W2-83 Elias Diaz
W2-84 Paul Molitor
W2-85 Kyle Lewis
W2-86 Eduardo Rodriguez
W2-87 Sean Murphy
W2-88 Mike Zunino
W2-89 Garrett Hampson
W2-90 Nick Senzel
W2-91 Robin Yount
W2-92 Daulton Varsho
W2-93 Josh Lowe
W2-94 Abraham Toro
W2-95 Drew Rasmussen
W2-96 Mike Moustakas
W2-97 Anthony Santander
W2-98 Andruw Jones
W2-99 Charlie Blackmon
W2-100 Ty Cobb
Rookie Action Image Variations Checklist
List TBA.
100 copies each.
Wave 1 Image Variations
List TBA.
200 copies each.
Wave 3
Available: August 17
Print Run: TBA

Parallels:
- Piedmont Back
- Sweet Caporal – (1:3 packs)
- El Principe de Gales – (1:6 packs)
- Drum – (1:18 packs)
- Polar Bear – (1:30 packs)
- Tolstoi – (25 copies each)
- Wood Paper Stock – (20 copies each)
- American Beauty – (10 copies each)
- Ty Cobb – 1/1
W3-1 Casey Stengel
W3-2 Cedric Mullins
W3-3 Heliot Ramos
W3-4 Don Mattingly
W3-5 Zack Greinke
W3-6 Ozzie Albies
W3-7 Brandon Marsh
W3-8 Yogi Berra
W3-9 Matt Chapman
W3-10 Fred Lynn
W3-11 William Contreras
W3-12 Steven Kwan
W3-13 Gary Sheffield
W3-14 Josh Naylor
W3-15 Luis Robert
W3-16 Lenny Dykstra
W3-17 Randy Arozarena
W3-18 Giancarlo Stanton
W3-19 Tony Gwynn
W3-20 Nomar Garciaparra
W3-21 Ha-Seong Kim
W3-22 Adolis Garcia
W3-23 Max Scherzer
W3-24 Josh Bell
W3-25 Carlton Fisk
W3-26 Paul Goldschmidt
W3-27 Tony Gonsolin
W3-28 Brandon Crawford
W3-29 Josh Gibson
W3-30 Oneil Cruz
W3-31 Alex Gordon
W3-32 Patrick Wisdom
W3-33 Ketel Marte
W3-34 Jim Palmer
W3-35 Frank Thomas
W3-36 Mitch Haniger
W3-37 Taylor Rogers
W3-38 Royce Lewis
W3-39 Paul Blackburn
W3-40 Willy Adames
W3-41 Dwight Gooden
W3-42 Yoan Moncada
W3-43 Lourdes Gurriel Jr.
W3-44 Avisail Garcia
W3-45 Matt Manning
W3-46 Stephen Strasburg
W3-47 Tim Raines
W3-48 Daniel Bard
W3-49 Jonathan India
W3-50 Carlos Rodón
W3-51 Bobby Dalbec
W3-52 David Cone
W3-53 Corey Knebel
W3-54 Eddie Rosario
W3-55 Anthony DeSclafani
W3-56 Keith Hernandez
W3-57 Stan Musial
W3-58 German Marquez
W3-59 Mark Canha
W3-60 Akil Baddoo
W3-61 Alek Manoah
W3-62 Jason Varitek
W3-63 Taylor Ward
W3-64 Kyle Schwarber
W3-65 Phil Rizzuto
W3-66 Craig Biggio
W3-67 Dylan Cease
W3-68 Joe Ryan
W3-69 Kyle Tucker
W3-70 Eduardo Escobar
W3-71 Eric Gagne
W3-72 Starling Marte
W3-73 Steven Matz
W3-74 Tanner Houck
W3-75 Christian Vazquez
W3-76 Luis Severino
W3-77 Miguel Tejada
W3-78 Gio Urshela
W3-79 Carson Kelly
W3-80 Jameson Taillon
W3-81 Roy Campanella
W3-82 Omar Narvaez
W3-83 Cavan Biggio
W3-84 Nick Madrigal
W3-85 Orlando Cepeda
W3-86 Bob Feller
W3-87 Adam Frazier
W3-88 JT Realmuto
W3-89 Andrew Heaney
W3-90 Josh Rojas
W3-91 Ryan Helsley
W3-92 Dustin Pedroia
W3-93 Isiah Kiner-Falefa
W3-94 Willie Randolph
W3-95 Pavin Smith
W3-96 Nick Solak
W3-97 Luis Arraez
W3-98 Tucker Barnhart
W3-99 Will Smith
W3-100 Lou Gehrig
Field of Dreams Variations Checklist
4 cards.
Seiya Suzuki
Nico Hoerner
Willson Contreras
Joey Votto
Image Variations Checklist
List TBA.
Players come from previous waves.
200 copies each.
Rookie Action Image Variations Checklist
List TBA.
100 copies each.
Checklist Top
2022 Topps 206 Baseball Team Set Checklists
Want to know what cards your favorite team has in 2022 Topps 206 Baseball? Here’s the checklist broken down by team. Scroll through or click below to go directly to that team.
Please note that only base cards are included here. Please check the main checklist in the other tab for parallel and known insert specifics.
Arizona Diamondbacks
W1-24 Zac Gallen
W1-47 Seth Beer
W1-83 Christian Walker
W2-34 Pavin Smith
W2-42 Alek Thomas
W2-92 Daulton Varsho
W3-33 Ketel Marte
W3-79 Carson Kelly
W3-90 Josh Rojas
W3-95 Pavin Smith
Atlanta Braves
W1-11 Austin Riley
W1-41 Deion Sanders
W1-45 Max Fried
W1-58 Marcell Ozuna
W1-85 Phil Niekro – Milwaukee Braves
W2-14 Ronald Acuña Jr.
W2-30 Dale Murphy
W2-98 Andruw Jones
W3-6 Ozzie Albies
W3-11 William Contreras
W3-54 Eddie Rosario
Baltimore Orioles
W1-7 Trey Mancini
W1-52 Austin Hays
W2-8 Cal Ripken Jr.
W2-56 Eddie Murray
W2-63 Ryan Mountcastle
W2-97 Anthony Santander
W3-2 Cedric Mullins
W3-34 Jim Palmer
Boston Red Sox
W1-9 Trevor Story
W1-18 Dennis Eckersley
W1-56 Alex Verdugo
W1-70 David Ortiz
W1-100 Tris Speaker
W2-9 Ted Williams
W2-18 Jarren Duran
W2-51 Rafael Devers
W3-10 Fred Lynn
W3-20 Nomar Garciaparra
W3-51 Bobby Dalbec
W3-62 Jason Varitek
W3-74 Tanner Houck
W3-92 Dustin Pedroia
Chicago Cubs
W1-6 Ryne Sandberg
W1-12 Greg Maddux
W1-23 Nico Hoerner
W1-35 Ian Happ
W1-40 Andre Dawson
W1-54 Kerry Wood
W2-45 Frank Schwindel
W3-32 Patrick Wisdom
W3-84 Nick Madrigal
Chicago White Sox
W1-82 Jose Abreu
W2-10 Tim Anderson
W2-72 Jake Burger
W2-78 Andrew Vaughn
W3-15 Luis Robert
W3-25 Carlton Fisk
W3-35 Frank Thomas
W3-42 Yoan Moncada
W3-67 Dylan Cease
Cincinnati Reds
W1-46 Tyler Stephenson
W1-60 Brandon Drury
W2-15 Ken Griffey Sr.
W2-32 Kyle Farmer
W2-46 Joey Votto
W2-90 Nick Senzel
W2-96 Mike Moustakas
W3-49 Jonathan India
Cleveland Guardians
W1-65 Triston McKenzie
W1-77 Myles Straw
W1-87 Cal Quantrill
W2-25 Jose Ramirez
W2-79 Larry Doby – Cleveland Indians
W3-12 Steven Kwan
W3-14 Josh Naylor
W3-86 Bob Feller – Cleveland Indians
Colorado Rockies
W1-26 C.J. Cron
W1-37 Randal Grichuk
W1-53 Connor Joe
W1-72 Ryan McMahon
W2-83 Elias Diaz
W2-89 Garrett Hampson
W2-99 Charlie Blackmon
W3-48 Daniel Bard
W3-58 German Marquez
Detroit Tigers
W1-69 Javier Baez
W2-12 Alex Faedo
W2-35 Miguel Cabrera
W2-86 Eduardo Rodriguez
W2-100 Ty Cobb
W3-45 Matt Manning
W3-60 Akil Baddoo
W3-98 Tucker Barnhart
Houston Astros
W1-3 Jeff Bagwell
W1-8 Chas McCormick
W1-34 Nolan Ryan
W1-76 Framber Valdez
W1-86 Yordan Alvarez
W1-96 Michael Brantley
W2-4 Jose Altuve
W2-71 Luis Garcia
W3-66 Craig Biggio
W3-69 Kyle Tucker
W3-75 Christian Vazquez
Kansas City Royals
W1-29 George Brett
W1-39 MJ Melendez
W1-89 Brady Singer
W2-7 Bobby Witt Jr.
W2-44 Andrew Benintendi
W2-58 Adalberto Mondesi
W2-76 Scott Barlow
W2-81 Nicky Lopez
W3-5 Zack Greinke
W3-31 Alex Gordon
Los Angeles Angels
W1-10 Patrick Sandoval
W1-36 Jared Walsh
W1-49 Vladimir Guerrero
W1-95 Torii Hunter
W2-27 Mike Trout
W2-64 Rod Carew – California Angels
W3-63 Taylor Ward
Los Angeles Dodgers
W1-27 Cody Bellinger
W1-48 Clayton Kershaw
W1-50 Duke Snider
W1-55 Pee Wee Reese – Brooklyn Dodgers
W1-59 Justin Turner
W1-75 Chris Taylor
W2-17 Julio Urias
W2-19 Freddie Freeman
W2-55 Gil Hodges – Brooklyn Dodgers
W3-13 Gary Sheffield
W3-27 Tony Gonsolin
W3-71 Eric Gagne
W3-81 Roy Campanella – Brooklyn Dodgers
W3-89 Andrew Heaney
W3-99 Will Smith
Miami Marlins
W1-19 Jazz Chisholm
W1-25 Joe Dunand
W2-36 Jorge Soler
W3-44 Avisail Garcia
Milwaukee Brewers
W1-14 Eric Lauer
W1-64 Christian Yelich
W1-94 Hunter Renfroe
W2-22 Rowdy Tellez
W2-48 Andrew McCutchen
W2-57 Freddy Peralta
W2-91 Robin Yount
W3-37 Taylor Rogers
W3-40 Willy Adames
W3-82 Omar Narvaez
Minnesota Twins
W1-20 Jhoan Durán
W1-51 Byron Buxton
W1-61 Dave Winfield
W1-92 Jorge Polanco
W2-28 Carlos Correa
W2-31 Tony Oliva
W2-54 Max Kepler
W2-60 Justin Morneau
W2-84 Paul Molitor
W3-38 Royce Lewis
W3-68 Joe Ryan
W3-78 Gio Urshela
W3-97 Luis Arraez
New York Mets
W1-13 Francisco Lindor
W1-88 Edwin Diaz
W1-98 Brandon Nimmo
W2-20 Pete Alonso
W2-24 Tylor Megill
W2-41 Tom Seaver
W2-50 Bobby Valentine
W3-23 Max Scherzer
W3-56 Keith Hernandez
W3-59 Mark Canha
W3-70 Eduardo Escobar
W3-72 Starling Marte
New York Yankees
W1-2 Nestor Cortes
W1-28 Paul O’Neil
W1-79 Darryl Strawberry
W1-84 Jordan Montgomery
W1-99 Aaron Judge
W2-2 Mariano Rivera
W2-29 Anthony Rizzo
W2-52 CC Sabathia
W2-59 Gerrit Cole
W2-75 Roger Clemens
W3-1 Casey Stengel
W3-4 Don Mattingly
W3-8 Yogi Berra
W3-18 Giancarlo Stanton
W3-41 Dwight Gooden
W3-52 David Cone
W3-65 Phil Rizzuto
W3-76 Luis Severino
W3-80 Jameson Taillon
W3-93 Isiah Kiner-Falefa
W3-94 Willie Randolph
W3-100 Lou Gehrig
Oakland Athletics
W1-63 Elvis Andrus
W2-37 Frankie Montas
W2-87 Sean Murphy
W3-39 Paul Blackburn
W3-77 Miguel Tejada
Philadelphia Phillies
W1-16 Nick Castellanos
W1-57 Zack Wheeler
W2-3 Bryce Harper
W2-5 Jim Thome
W2-23 Ryan Howard
W2-47 Mike Schmidt
W2-61 Alec Bohm
W2-66 J.T. Realmuto
W2-77 Zach Eflin
W3-7 Brandon Marsh
W3-16 Lenny Dykstra
W3-53 Corey Knebel
W3-64 Kyle Schwarber
W3-88 JT Realmuto
Pittsburgh Pirates
W1-21 Roberto Clemente
W2-80 David Bednar
W3-30 Oneil Cruz
San Diego Padres
W1-30 Joe Musgrove
W1-73 Manny Machado
W2-26 Fernando Tatis Jr.
W2-40 Yu Darvish
W2-43 Trevor Hoffman
W3-19 Tony Gwynn
W3-21 Ha-Seong Kim
W3-24 Josh Bell
San Francisco Giants
W1-32 Joc Pederson
W1-74 Juan Marichal
W2-1 Christy Mathewson – New York Giants
W2-21 Mike Yastrzemski
W2-73 Evan Longoria
W2-74 Alex Wood
W3-3 Heliot Ramos
W3-28 Brandon Crawford
W3-50 Carlos Rodón
W3-55 Anthony DeSclafani
W3-85 Orlando Cepeda
Seattle Mariners
W1-17 George Kirby
W1-33 J.P. Crawford
W1-44 Ty France
W1-90 Edgar Martinez
W2-33 Logan Gilbert
W2-65 Robbie Ray
W2-68 Jay Buhner
W2-70 Paul Sewald
W2-85 Kyle Lewis
W2-94 Abraham Toro
W3-36 Mitch Haniger
W3-87 Adam Frazier
St. Louis Cardinals
W1-4 Rogers Hornsby
W1-15 Yadier Molina
W1-38 Tommy Edman
W1-43 Harrison Bader
W1-81 Miles Mikolas
W1-93 Steve Carlton
W2-16 Nolan Arenado
W2-62 Tyler O’Neill
W2-82 Jack Flaherty
W3-26 Paul Goldschmidt
W3-57 Stan Musial
W3-73 Steven Matz
W3-91 Ryan Helsley
Tampa Bay Rays
W1-5 Wander Franco
W1-42 Shane McClanahan
W1-67 Manuel Margot
W2-13 Kevin Kiermaier
W2-39 Jose Canseco
W2-49 Shane Baz
W2-67 Brandon Lowe
W2-88 Mike Zunino
W2-93 Josh Lowe
W2-95 Drew Rasmussen
W3-17 Randy Arozarena
Texas Rangers
W1-62 Mark Teixeira
W1-68 Kole Calhoun
W1-80 Martin Perez
W2-11 Corey Seager
W3-22 Adolis Garcia
W3-96 Nick Solak
Toronto Blue Jays
W1-1 Bo Bichette
W1-31 Alek Manoah
W1-78 Jordan Romano
W1-97 Santiago Espinal
W2-6 George Springer
W2-38 Alejandro Kirk
W2-69 Kevin Gausman
W3-9 Matt Chapman
W3-43 Lourdes Gurriel Jr.
W3-61 Alek Manoah
Washington Nationals
W1-22 Keibert Ruiz
W1-66 Felipe Alou – Montreal Expos
W1-71 Cesar Hernandez
W1-91 Maikel Franco
W2-53 Yadiel Hernandez
W3-47 Tim Raines – Montreal Expos
W3-83 Cavan Biggio
W3-46 Stephen Strasburg
I pulled an original buyback from wave 4!! Absolutely incredible! I still almost can’t believe it and I don’t even know who to tell my excitement to so here I am, haha. WOW! I’d love to know what the odds are on something like that. Does anyone know or know how to figure something like that out? It’s staying in my PC forever, but certainly curious about the odds!