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Who will break HR record now?
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 (08-22-2013, 01:29 PM)nolan5000 Wrote: I think everyone will quit watching baseball, IF aroid breaks the record.Which brings us to the question.... Does anyone besides Aroid really want Aroid to break any record?
Collecting: Fred McGriff, Chipper, Griffey, and Todd Helton.
Website: http://zaccheus85cards.webs.com ![[Image: 0989_001-1.jpg]](http://i676.photobucket.com/albums/vv128/zaccheus85/Personal%20Collection/0989_001-1.jpg)
 (08-22-2013, 02:58 PM)zaccheus85 Wrote: Which brings us to the question....Yes. His agent.  My Huge Wantlist: http://www.zeprock.com/WantList.html 
LF: Kyle Tucker, Ryan Mountcastle, Shane Bieber, Alex Bohm, Joe Ryan, & Dale Murphy
Bad traders: almostbaker, beantownsfinest, thespirit33, GRIFFEY MAN 1 
I'm not saying Stanton is going to do hit, but I think he has the best chance of anyone under 30. I think he's being overlooked
Looking for jose reyes in a Mets uniform
REYES CARD COUNT-366 "the other sports are just sports, baseball is a love" ![[Image: 6I7b5.png]](http://i.imgur.com/6I7b5.png) As for me and my house, we will serve the Lord" 
I thought Ryan Howard would have a chance considering he was averaging nearly 50 HRs a year for 4 years from 2006-2009, but he dropped off since then.
While the average of 38 HRs a season for 20 years seems crazy, it is even crazier to consider what a player has to hit each year to get that average. Most great power hitters will have a peak and play near their top for a decade, and then degrade slowly from there. Here is a rundown of how a 20 year career would have to go in order to get to the HR record: 10 seasons averaging 45 HRs = 450 With a degrade of 5% every year means the following break down year 11 = 41 HRs, 491 total year 12 = 39 HRs, 530 total year 13 = 37 HRs, 567 total year 14 = 35 HRs, 602 total year 15 = 33 HRs, 635 total year 16 = 31 HRs, 666 total year 17 = 29 HRs, 695 total year 18 = 27 HRs, 722 total year 19 = 26 HRs, 748 total year 20 = 25 HRs, 773 total You can obviously move the years around a little bit but this gives an idea as to what would have to happen. Alternatively a player could hit 60-70 HRs a year and get there much quicker, but being able to maintain that many HRs each year would definitely make people 2nd guess their cleanliness.
Collecting John Stockton, Karl Malone, Ivan Rodriguez, Gary Carter & UF player rookie year cards. Plus Jedd Gyorko rookie and prospect cards.
Jedd Gyorko 2010-2013: Have 329/419 including 1/1s Wantlist: http://sites.google.com/site/sportscardsite/set-needs/ 
Some kindergardener will break the record one day!
![[Image: YTORkDJ.png]](http://i.imgur.com/YTORkDJ.png) Thanks to Jbel4331 for my sig!!!! Collecting 1964 Topps Venezuelan(completed),Andres Galarraga, Cal Ripken Jr, Miguel Cabrera, Bobby Abreu, Phillies, Venezuelan players and players from my sig. Also all Topps sets from the 80s, 90s, 2000s, 2010s |
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